The yadavs fight to delight bsp and bjp
One day after the chief minister of India’s smallest state was suspended by his own party, it is the turn of the chief minister of the largest state to get expelled from his. Pema Khandu’s predicament might or might not be a speed-breaker in the BJP’s all-conquering march in the northeast, but Akhilesh Yadav’s expulsion from the Samajwadi Party will have a decisive impact on national politics.
The split in the Yadav clan will weaken the Samajwadi Party ahead of the forthcoming UP elections and strengthen the hands of the BSP and of the BJP. Even the Congress now stands to get a chance to show that it is something more than an ISI stamp of secularism. Akhilesh’s rebellion is more than a clash of personalities.
His father Mulayam Singh — who backs his brother Shivpal Singh against Akhilesh — represents the old brand of identity politics, which believes that caste/community solidarity is the only operative element in electoral arithmetic.Akhilesh Yadav’s expulsion from the Samajwadi Party will have a decisive impact on national politics. Akhilesh holds another view, that a commitment to growth and development is what people want and will support.
Endorsing criminals just because they belong to the group you wish to consolidate is not acceptable to this vision of politics. The emergence of this strand of thought is welcome from a broader perspective, but will weaken the Samajwadi Party in the short term, even if father and son patch up tomorrow.
Muslim voters cannot count on the SP to block the BJP’s ascendance in UP any more. They are likely to transfer their votes to whichever non-SP candidate stands a better chance of defeating the BJP nominee in any given constituency. The BSP would be the biggest gainer, but the Congress would get these votes in some places. How people assess demonetisation would determine the BJP’s fate.
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